All content in the ZeccoShare community is generated by its members and does not contain advice or recommendations on behalf of Zecco Holdings or Zecco Trading. More>>
Content Name: CommunityDisclaimerShortLeftNav
Preview Revision #:
Active Revision #:
Edit Content
Zecco.com » General Investing » Screening & Picking » Week of Aug 25-Aug 29: Traders Wha...
Last post 08-27-2008, 11:31 PM by Chrib. 58 replies.
Page 3 of 4 (59 items)   < Previous 1 2 3 4 Next >
Previous   Next
Content Name: ForumThreadInternal
Preview Revision #:
Active Revision #:
Edit Content
  •  08-25-2008, 9:55 AM 36343 in reply to 36342

    Re: Week of Aug 25-Aug 29: Traders What Are Your Thoughts?

    Reply Quote
    Chrib:
    Chrib:
    I'm watching CPSL
    It's a momo, a float queen, a China dynamo
    Market could break either way, but whichever way, I think it will be big
    If that way is up, power to the momos
    Plus great low-risk chart formation: upturned 50, broke upside of pennant Friday, wave count is 3 of 3
    Small pullback possible, for safety reasons buy above 5.16, if you're a gambler try buying a pullback.
    I'm already in myself.


    breakout! up 7%; let's see how much it has left in the tank...



    booked some 5.38 - letting 80% ride
  •  08-25-2008, 11:09 AM 36349 in reply to 36343

    Re: Week of Aug 25-Aug 29: Traders What Are Your Thoughts?

    Reply Quote
    Chrib:
    Chrib:
    Chrib:
    I'm watching CPSL
    It's a momo, a float queen, a China dynamo
    Market could break either way, but whichever way, I think it will be big
    If that way is up, power to the momos
    Plus great low-risk chart formation: upturned 50, broke upside of pennant Friday, wave count is 3 of 3
    Small pullback possible, for safety reasons buy above 5.16, if you're a gambler try buying a pullback.
    I'm already in myself.


    breakout! up 7%; let's see how much it has left in the tank...



    booked some 5.38 - letting 80% ride


    Consolidated at 5.40-5.45, now climbing a bit more - this is the way of the Chinese momo float queens: very little supply and one gets steep vertical climbs on the charts when the setup is right. That's why I watch them every day -- flip side is be quick to book profit. Easy come, easy go. Stop's at 4.99. I think a pullback may be in the offing too.

  •  08-25-2008, 11:26 AM 36353 in reply to 36349

    Re: Week of Aug 25-Aug 29: Traders What Are Your Thoughts?

    Reply Quote
    Chrib:
    Chrib:
    Chrib:
    Chrib:
    I'm watching CPSL
    It's a momo, a float queen, a China dynamo
    Market could break either way, but whichever way, I think it will be big
    If that way is up, power to the momos
    Plus great low-risk chart formation: upturned 50, broke upside of pennant Friday, wave count is 3 of 3
    Small pullback possible, for safety reasons buy above 5.16, if you're a gambler try buying a pullback.
    I'm already in myself.


    breakout! up 7%; let's see how much it has left in the tank...



    booked some 5.38 - letting 80% ride


    Consolidated at 5.40-5.45, now climbing a bit more - this is the way of the Chinese momo float queens: very little supply and one gets steep vertical climbs on the charts when the setup is right. That's why I watch them every day -- flip side is be quick to book profit. Easy come, easy go. Stop's at 4.99. I think a pullback may be in the offing too.



    yep, on cue, pulling back now - if you have intraday charting start watching it on 1-minute timeframe.
    There is a chance this will pullback and then go - wait for it to decline, rise a bit (staying below day's high of 5.60), and decline again so that it forms a little hill on the 1-minute chart - then buy if it gets above the peak of that hill, risking to 4.99. May not happen but that would be a low-risk entry where you are waiting for the market to prove to you there is strength enough for a move, while taking advantage of the natural waves of greed and fear to provide you with that low risk entry.
  •  08-25-2008, 11:41 AM 36357 in reply to 36353

    Re: Week of Aug 25-Aug 29: Traders What Are Your Thoughts?

    Reply Quote
    Chrib:
    Chrib:
    Chrib:
    Chrib:
    Chrib:
    I'm watching CPSL
    It's a momo, a float queen, a China dynamo
    Market could break either way, but whichever way, I think it will be big
    If that way is up, power to the momos
    Plus great low-risk chart formation: upturned 50, broke upside of pennant Friday, wave count is 3 of 3
    Small pullback possible, for safety reasons buy above 5.16, if you're a gambler try buying a pullback.
    I'm already in myself.


    breakout! up 7%; let's see how much it has left in the tank...



    booked some 5.38 - letting 80% ride


    Consolidated at 5.40-5.45, now climbing a bit more - this is the way of the Chinese momo float queens: very little supply and one gets steep vertical climbs on the charts when the setup is right. That's why I watch them every day -- flip side is be quick to book profit. Easy come, easy go. Stop's at 4.99. I think a pullback may be in the offing too.



    yep, on cue, pulling back now - if you have intraday charting start watching it on 1-minute timeframe.
    There is a chance this will pullback and then go - wait for it to decline, rise a bit (staying below day's high of 5.60), and decline again so that it forms a little hill on the 1-minute chart - then buy if it gets above the peak of that hill, risking to 4.99. May not happen but that would be a low-risk entry where you are waiting for the market to prove to you there is strength enough for a move, while taking advantage of the natural waves of greed and fear to provide you with that low risk entry.


    Now building the left side of the "hill" - see if it forms a right side that doesn't go too far down past 5.46 (the base of the left side of the hill); if so, we have a potential setup. If it goes too far down, then wait for another, smaller hill to form on the side of the first hill.

    Also OK to buy at 5.61 or HIGHER, in case demand is so high that there's no right side of the first hill and it just goes zoom zoom up. If that happens an aggressive day trade stop would be 5.33 or 5.34, you must exit by the end of the day though.
  •  08-25-2008, 11:54 AM 36361 in reply to 36357

    Re: Week of Aug 25-Aug 29: Traders What Are Your Thoughts?

    Reply Quote
    Yeesh for some  reason I don't like the way the hill is forming even though it fits my criteria so far.
    Continue waiting for the 5.61 entry, don't buy at the peak of this mini-hill - looks like a trap
    if it's not a trap then you'll be in at 5.61 anyway, risk to either 5.34 or 4.99, depending on risk tolerance
  •  08-25-2008, 12:25 PM 36366 in reply to 36361

    Re: Week of Aug 25-Aug 29: Traders What Are Your Thoughts?

    Reply Quote
    Chrib:
    Yeesh for some  reason I don't like the way the hill is forming even though it fits my criteria so far.
    Continue waiting for the 5.61 entry, don't buy at the peak of this mini-hill - looks like a trap
    if it's not a trap then you'll be in at 5.61 anyway, risk to either 5.34 or 4.99, depending on risk tolerance


    Ooh all of a sudden looking good to me again. It looks like a bullflag on the 1-minute chart
    Aggressive day traders try buy >= 5.51 or 5.52, stop at 4.99 or however low the right side of the hill goes if you want to cut it a bit closer. More conservative day traders buy >= 5.61, same stop criteria. If aggressive, put less $$ at risk -- like 0.1% of total portfolio value (or even less!)

    Calculation instructions here: http://www.chribstrades.com/
  •  08-25-2008, 12:38 PM 36368 in reply to 36366

    Re: Week of Aug 25-Aug 29: Traders What Are Your Thoughts?

    Reply Quote
    Chrib:
    Chrib:
    Yeesh for some  reason I don't like the way the hill is forming even though it fits my criteria so far.
    Continue waiting for the 5.61 entry, don't buy at the peak of this mini-hill - looks like a trap
    if it's not a trap then you'll be in at 5.61 anyway, risk to either 5.34 or 4.99, depending on risk tolerance


    Ooh all of a sudden looking good to me again. It looks like a bullflag on the 1-minute chart
    Aggressive day traders try buy >= 5.51 or 5.52, stop at 4.99 or however low the right side of the hill goes if you want to cut it a bit closer. More conservative day traders buy >= 5.61, same stop criteria. If aggressive, put less $$ at risk -- like 0.1% of total portfolio value (or even less!)

    Calculation instructions here: http://www.chribstrades.com/


    Word to the mutha'
    Brian Shannon just highlighted CPSL once it breaks 5.50 on his online chat today
  •  08-25-2008, 1:13 PM 36372 in reply to 36342

    Re: Week of Aug 25-Aug 29: Traders What Are Your Thoughts?

    Reply Quote
    new to the site, so maybe you can direct me to a more appropriate place to pose this question...but, what are your thoughts on USNA?  WM??
  •  08-25-2008, 1:27 PM 36373 in reply to 36372

    Re: Week of Aug 25-Aug 29: Traders What Are Your Thoughts?

    Reply Quote
    blk740il:
    new to the site, so maybe you can direct me to a more appropriate place to pose this question...but, what are your thoughts on USNA?  WM??

    I'm kinda new too, not sure
    My thoughts - USNA  looks OK, WM is rotted to hell

    CPSL update - if it can pull back a little tiny tiny bit , it looks constructive for a move above 5.50. I'd make it 5.52 or higher to be on the safe side. and there, it just did do the pullback. This could be it.

    10 minutes later... building reverse h&s pattern, >= 5.51 is good entry once again. If feeling aggressive then risk to just below the right shoulder (5.36 or 5.37 currently)
  •  08-25-2008, 2:23 PM 36378 in reply to 36373

    Re: Week of Aug 25-Aug 29: Traders What Are Your Thoughts?

    Reply Quote
    Chrib:
    blk740il:
    new to the site, so maybe you can direct me to a more appropriate place to pose this question...but, what are your thoughts on USNA?  WM??

    I'm kinda new too, not sure
    My thoughts - USNA  looks OK, WM is rotted to hell

    CPSL update - if it can pull back a little tiny tiny bit , it looks constructive for a move above 5.50. I'd make it 5.52 or higher to be on the safe side. and there, it just did do the pullback. This could be it.

    10 minutes later... building reverse h&s pattern, >= 5.51 is good entry once again. If feeling aggressive then risk to just below the right shoulder (5.36 or 5.37 currently)


    Starting to look dodgy. If it falls below 5.24 it's definitely a no-go, and if it falls farther than where it is now (5.34) it'll look like a real ugly setup. It kinda looks ugly already.

    Anyway, I hope this exercise helped to illustrate my thinking process when evaluating charts and chart setups. I know we all want measurable scientific data so we can use screens to do all the work, but there's an art to chart reading. There is a kind of back-and-forth constant re-evaluation of the chart as it develops, and so much of it depends on "the look" of the chart, and that's something that will come with time. One thing to focus on is the angles of the trends - the combination of price and time.

    As for CPSL, it's getting to be way too late in the day to play a day trade anyway, so pull your orders at will.
  •  08-25-2008, 3:02 PM 36382 in reply to 36378

    Re: Week of Aug 25-Aug 29: Traders What Are Your Thoughts?

    Reply Quote
    Goodness... it's 3:00PM ET and the setup looks so tempting.
    I know I shouldn't but... maybe risking just a soupçon?

    http://img267.imageshack.us/

    (This is Ameritrade's charting)
  •  08-25-2008, 3:33 PM 36384 in reply to 36382

    Re: Week of Aug 25-Aug 29: Traders What Are Your Thoughts?

    Reply Quote
    Well, I'm in. 5.48 stop 5.40
    sell 1/2 at 5.60 (high of day)
    Minuscule position
    How far can it go in 30 minutes?

    PS I don't think you're supposed to day trade after 1PM let alone after 3:30!!!

    Update: sold 1/2 5.56 - playing it safe.
    Not a bad return, because the initial risk was 8 cents & the return on this portion is 8 cents. I get back 1x the amount I had decided to risk, less commissions, so it's almost a 1R trade.

    Update: sold other 1/2 5.53 - I'm a wimp.

    Results:
    Risk is .08/share
    Average profit is .065/share
    commission = .01/share
    net profit is .055/share before taxes

    .055/.08 = 0.6875R, where R is the dollar amoun